Dear RN list, Jan. 3 There are two messages in this posting; it was hard to decide which to put first. In the end, I decided to put the shortest one first, but I urge you to read the second one too, as it also gives some good leads on ways to move towards sustainability and away from the thinking that brought us GATT, NAFTA, IMF, MAI and all that other nonsense. all the best, Jan ***************************************************************** Date: Thu, 17 Dec 1998 12:46:54 -0500 To: •••@••.••• From: "Mike Nickerson, Inviting Debate" <•••@••.•••> Subject: A System Tune-Up. A System Tune-Up for the Coming Era Powerful new tools are available to deal with unemployment and climate change. Joe Jordan, is committed to bringing them to public attention. If we choose to use these tools, we can turn the tide of events and put hope back into the future. The plan has two parts. The first is to acknowledge that pollution, unemployment and resource depletion are problems and to include them in our assessment of progress. At present, GDP (Gross Domestic Product) is used to measure progress. It is a tally of all the money spent in a year. GDP is a poor measure of well-being since it makes no distinction between desirable expenditures like food and education and 'regrettable' ones like burglar alarms and the treatment of pollution related disease. The "7th Generation Bill", which Mr. Jordan is working on as a Member of the Canadian Parliament, proposes an improved measure of well-being. It will account for depletion of natural resources and subtract 'regrettable' expenditures. It will also acknowledge contributions to well-being for which no money is paid. Homemaking, child and elder care and voluntary community activity all improve our well-being. When they are not recognized, as when GDP ignores them, they are depreciated. The result is fewer of these services provided less enthusiastically. Improving our measure of well-being would be like getting new eyes with which to see as we steer our way into the future. The second step: Once we have accepted the broader range of costs and benefits that affect well-being, subtle shifts in our governing process will help immensely. It is popular to resent taxes, yet few of us object to the education, health care, fire protection and other services they pay for. However, the system needs a tune up. Even though Canada has acknowledged the serious dangers of climate change, billions of our tax dollars are used to subsidize the very processes which deliver carbon fuels and make it easy for us to pollute with them. Any effort to address climate change without reassessing the employment of our tax money in this way is like running an air conditioner while the furnace is blazing. Better that we should use tax power to encourage solar energy where every step taken reduces the need to use polluting fuels. Taxes are a powerful tool. Besides raising money for public services, it is well known that when something is taxed, we get less of it. Taxing employment (income tax) makes it more expensive to hire people, which results in fewer jobs. If we taxed pollution, polluting activity would cost more and we would do less of it. Doesn't it make more sense to tax things we don't want rather than taxing the things we do want? Tax shifting, as this is called, can put more money into people's pockets and actively discourage the release of dozens of pollutants that are proven to cause problems. In the revised system, we would be encouraged to avoid the pollution taxes. Companies would compete to provide non-polluting alternatives and real progress would be made. Full cost accounting is where the costs of diminished resource supplies, pollution and unemployment are included when calculating the cost of producing goods and services. If prices included these external costs, we could, in our millions, help solve critical problems by shopping for bargains. Because nature doesn't charge for supplying resources and absorbing waste, there are no real prices to fill the accounting columns. The social costs of unemployment are even harder to assign to particular products. With tax shifting, however, we need only identify the value that citizens put on health, the environment and dependable social relations. The tax tool can then be applied accordingly and problems would be discouraged and solutions given the advantage. An expanded measure of well-being along with a slow but steady shift in the source of tax revenues can go a long way toward securing the future. The "7th Generation Bill" <http://www.cyberus.ca/choose.sustain/well-being.shtml> aims to focus public concern on this opportunity. You can help make it happen. More details are available. Look for "Measuring Well-Being" at the Web address above or write for a free copy from: Joe Jordan, MP, House of Commons, Ottawa, K1A 0A6. Postage to the House of Commons is free in Canada. Email: •••@••.••• Also of interest: "Why We Will Succeed": http://www.cyberus.ca/choose.sustain/Question/succeed.shtml ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ "Get taxes off our backs and onto our side." See how we can increase employment and decrease pollution by changing the source of public revenues. Northwest Environment Watch http://www.northwestwatch.org/tax.html ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sustainability Project - Inviting Debate P.O. Box 374, Merrickville, Ontario K0G 1N0 (613) 269-3500 e-mail: •••@••.••• http://www.cyberus.ca/choose.sustain ********************************************************************** Note from Jan: There are other exciting projects going on in Canada, two related ones right here in Nova Scotia! Janet Eaton, who many of you will "know" from the anti-MAI effort, is one of several people who started the Nova Scotia-based Network for Creative Change. It has a web site, which I can highly recommend and a list serv, which for now is just for Nova Scotians. (Sorry guys :-( ) ===================================================== Network for Creative Change: Website: http://www.chebucto.ns.ca/CommunitySupport/NCC/NCCHPAGE.html "Do not wait for leaders, do it alone, person to person. " --Mother Teresa ======================================================= Now, here is a message Janet prepared for the list serv so we could be introduced to the General Progress Index or GPI. Speaking as a Nova Scotian, I'd much rather we exported the GPI than our few remaining fish! all the best, Jan ******************************************************************** From: "Janet M. Eaton" <•••@••.•••> This paper was delivered by Dr. Ronald Colman, Director of the GPI Atlantic Project in Nova Scotia, at the MAI Inquiry held in Halifax, Nova Scotia, November 28, 1998. Ronald Colman's GPI Atlantic is showing what's wrong with our current measures of progress and what we can do about it through his work on the Genuine Progress Index!! In this paper he shows how GDP/MAI type mathematics, which is the math that is the foundation of every Economics 101 text, is a math that misleads policy makers, rewards environmental destruction, elevates materialism to the primary social ethic, and, for the first time since the Industrial Revolution, makes it highly likely that the next generation will be worse off than the present one. He goes on to show that there is a better way!! GPI Atlantic is a non-profit research group that is currently constructing an index of sustainable development for Nova Scotia, a Genuine Progress Index, that measures the value of our natural resources, of unpaid work, of equity, of human and social capital, in addition to market statistics. And it subtracts rather than adds the costs of crime, toxic pollution and other activities that detract from well-being. By integrating social, economic and environmental variables into a comprehensive set of accounts, it becomes possible to find out whether welfare is actually being enhanced or diminished by current economic policy. It can send more accurate signals to policy makers and help them identify measures that can contribute to genuine progress, well-being and prosperity. Ron Colman and the team of advisors and researchers he has assembled are examining 20 social, sconomic, and environmental indicators, selected in consultation with Statistics Canada. Ron is quick to recognize and note that GPI Atlantic is building on the pioneering work of Redefining Progress in California, of the World Resources Institute, and of other leaders in sustainable development accounting. His greatest hope for the project is that it will result in an actual tool for the practical use of policy makers.. . Statistics Canada has designated this project as a pilot for the rest of the country -meaning Nova Scotia has a chance to take the lead in creating a new economy for the 21st century that will genuinely reflect the social, spiritual, environmental, and human values of our society. For a description of the project, complete background papers, and news releases see the GPI Atlantic Website address: www.gpiatlantic.org Ron Colman can be reached at •••@••.••• The following paper is not on the GPI website so you may wish to save it in your files. All the best, Janet Eaton, Advisory Council, GPI -Atlantic. •••@••.••• ================================================= MAI INQUIRY, HALIFAX, 28 November, 1998 MAI MATHEMATICS: IS THERE AN ALTERNATIVE? Ronald Colman, Ph.D, Director, GPI Atlantic Thank you for coming here today to listen to us. We have learned so much from you over many years. We appreciate that you are now here to hear us. Why is the MAI so important to some? We must begin by acknowledging that according to a certain kind of mathematics it is very attractive. It can be shown to increase production, to expand trade, to lower production costs, and to keep inflation low. It is the same mathematics that measures economic strength and social well-being according to GDP growth rates, and that focuses tremendous attention on related market statistics like interest rate changes, currency exchange value fluctuations, and gains and losses on the Toronto Stock Exchange. It is the same mathematics where the numbers go up the more fish and timber are sent to market, that counts the depletion of natural resources as economic gain. It is the same mathematics where the numbers go up the more crime, the more toxic spills, the more divorce, the more gambling, the more car accidents there are, because all these generate economic activity which adds to growth. It is a mathematics that makes no distinctions between economic activities that contribute to or detract from welfare. It is the same mathematics that ignores growing inequality, the value of unpaid work - including voluntary work, household production and child-rearing, overwhelmingly performed by women throughout the world, and the value of leisure time. All are omitted from the equation in GDP / MAI mathematics. It is the same mathematics that 20 years ago hailed GDP growth rates in Brazil as an "economic miracle," while half the country got poorer, and infant mortality rates sky-rocketed. And it is the same mathematics that today holds Chile up as a model for the developing world, because its economy is growing and it is paying back its loans to the IMF, while its forests are being cut down, its fish stocks depleted, its rural population sprayed with toxins long banned in Canada, and its inequality growing. Interestingly, if you or I used this kind of mathematics on our income tax forms, Revenue Canada alarm bells would sound and we would be hauled in for interrogation. Imagine a factory owner counting the sale of his machinery and capital equipment as profit, the way our national accounts count the sale of our natural capital assets as economic gain! Yet that is the mathematics, selectively counting, measuring and valuing only the quantity of market production, that justifies the MAI, because it increases production at low cost. It is a mathematics that makes no distinction: · whether foreign investment protects or destroys the resources of the host country; · whether investment is in clinics or casinos, in schools or gun-running; · whether investors use child-labour or sweatshops or adhere to safety standards or poison their workers by violating environmental regulations; · whether the investment feeds people or undermines the food security of the host country by converting self-sufficient farms to cotton plantations or shrimp farms or sugar and cocoa plantations for consumption at western dinner tables; · whether security, equity and environmental quality are enhanced or diminished. It is a mathematics, in short, that omits long-terms costs and benefits completely from the equation. It is a mathematics, unfortunately, that is still taught in our classrooms, and that is the foundation of every Economics 101 text. It is a mathematics that misleads policy makers, rewards environmental destruction, elevates materialism to the primary social ethic, and, for the first time since the Industrial Revolution, makes it highly likely that the next generation will be worse off than the present one. There is a Better Way of Counting Here in Nova Scotia we are engaged in a modest project to count some of the important factors omitted from GDP / MAI mathematics, and to include them in the equation. GPI Atlantic is a non-profit research group that is currently constructing an index of sustainable development for Nova Scotia, a Genuine Progress Index, that measures the value of our natural resources, of unpaid work, of equity, of human and social capital, in addition to market statistics. And it subtracts rather than adds the costs of crime, toxic pollution and other activities that detract from well-being. By integrating social, economic and environmental variables into a comprehensive set of accounts, it becomes possible to find out whether welfare is actually being enhanced or diminished by current economic policy. It can send more accurate signals to policy makers and help them identify measures that can contribute to genuine progress, well-being and prosperity. It can let citizens know how we are really doing as a society, and how we can live sustainably so that future generations will not be worse off because of our actions. Counting some of those missing numbers can actually change the policy agenda. If our natural resources have no value in our accounting system, we will not give policy priority to supporting sustainable timber harvesting. While we measure the quantity of market production but not investments in human and social capital, we will continue to give tax breaks to business, and view education and health as costs that need to be cut. Our current system of selective mathematics actually determines what makes into the policy arena. If I tell a class of students that they should devote great effort to their research paper, that they will learn a lot from it, that it will hone their research skills, that it is the most important part of the course, and that it is worth 5% of the final grade, then the students may be forgiven for putting all their effort into the exam instead. What we count signifies what we actually value far more potently than what we say. No one today argues publicly for a degraded environment, for greater inequality, for more crime or less job security. But we can talk ourselves blue in the face and profess adherence to all the right principles. Until we officially count and measure them in our core accounts, they will not be seen as having real value, and they will never make it to the top of the policy agenda. The time is more than ripe to change our accounting system and to adopt a more genuine and comprehensive measure of progress. And there is probably no region in the country that is more fertile ground for this change than the Atlantic provinces, for three basic reasons: · No one in this region needs convincing that counting natural resource depletion as growth can be economically disastrous. Maybe in British Columbia enough people still believe that resources are forever. But here we have actually seen the loss of a resource come full circle back into the economy as a catastrophic cost. Through TAGS, through 40,000 unemployed fishermen, we are now actually paying the price in hard cash for failing to value our fisheries as a capital asset. What policy-maker, of whatever political stripe, would not welcome an early warning system that allows a timely, graduated response to a depreciating asset before we are faced with another crisis? The question is not theoretical. A year ago, the National Round Table on Environment and Economy warned that our Maritime wood lots could be on the verge of a collapse, analogous to the period preceding the collapse of the cod fishery. · Secondly, there is no illusion here that conventional economic mathematics has ever really worked for this region, at least in the last 100 years. There is perhaps a greater openness here to an alternative system that values our true assets than in a region like Upper Canada that is more firmly yoked to the TSE, the Bank of Canada, to company headquarters and to the other institutions of blind growth. · Thirdly, for some reason, the materialist juggernaut has not irrevocably paved this region over, at least not yet. Community values are still remarkably strong. There is still a gentleness, straightforwardness, generosity, and willingness to help our neighbours that has not yet succumbed to greed and egoism. Visitors feel it. Locals who leave for greener economic pastures often return after some years, drawn back by a mysterious magnet that has more to do with quality of life than quantity of possessions. But we are not immune. Small community schools are being replaced by massive private-public partnered crowd control enclosures. From a fraction of the national average 30 years ago, crime rates are rising fast to meet national standards. Government-supported gambling is eroding the social fabric. Free trade brings Walmarts to replace small local stores. And yet, we still have a narrow window of opportunity. It is still possible here, I am convinced, to garner overwhelming public support for an index of genuine progress that reminds people of their true values. Cutting Through MAI Math This local project can, I think, contribute to the MAI debate, because even a small move towards fuller cost accounting, that begins to consider social and environmental variables in the equation, can demonstrate how spurious MAI math really is. For example, the math of globalization shows that transporting goods over vast distances can keep prices lower than producing those goods at home. Sobey's can sell a California lettuce for less than it costs a local farmer to grow one. But what is missing at the checkout register? That price excludes energy subsidies, the true costs of transportation, the cost of greenhouse gas and other emissions from refrigerated trucks and warehouses, soil erosion from monoculture growing methods, the health effects of pesticide residues, the loss of local jobs, the loss of potential local inputs into production. When all that has no value, when it is not counted at the checkout register, then the California lettuce looks very attractive. It appears cheap to the consumer, profitable to the producer, and it creates enough intermediate economic activity to keep the growth figures climbing. Sadly, all the hidden and forgotten costs will be paid, many of them by the next generation. Cynics might say that people will always go for the lowest price, the greatest personal convenience, the best bargain. That is the MAI logo. But I don't think so. I am convinced that if Nova Scotians know all the numbers in the equation, and not just a selective few, they will naturally incline to wise choices. We recently spent $112 million on the 45-kilometre Cobequid by-pass on Highway 104. That $112 million could have closed the poverty gap for 25,000 of the 46,000 Nova Scotia children who live in poverty. Would Nova Scotian motorists be willing to drive a few kilometres an hour slower on the old road or take a few extra minutes on their journey to help eliminate child poverty in the province? If they knew those few extra numbers, currently invisible, I'm convinced the answer would be a resounding "Yes." Not only that, eradicating child poverty would be a good economic investment for the province. Numerous studies show that child poverty is directly correlated with poor health, premature death, and poor educational attainment, which translate directly into higher social costs and poor workplace productivity down the road, and which come back to the economy as costs as surely as the depletion of the fishery. This is not rocket science. It is street-sense economics. Ordinary Nova Scotians can understand it, and respond with wisdom and compassion. I may be hopelessly naïve. But I do believe that even those most firmly convinced of the value of MAI-type agreements would see the equation differently if just a few extra numbers were added to the accounts. I recently read an interview with the Chief Executive Office of Philip Morris, who earns a tidy $4 million a year. Using the selective MAI / GDP type mathematics that is confirmed by all we're taught and read in the press, that man looks "rich." His apparent wealth is envied and emulated, he may receive honorary degrees from universities he supports, or may head the local United Way, like the President of Imperial Tobacco in Montreal. Not only rich, but a respected citizen! Even if we discount the social costs of what he produces and sells - (Personally I can't do that, because I feel a pain in my heart every morning when I see the 13 and 14-year-old schoolgirls puffing away on the street corner as they wait for the school bus, or when I read that the number of teenagers who smoke regularly has tripled in recent years) - but even if we can't expect the Philip Morris CEO to count these costs, there are others he can not so easily ignore. In the interview he reveals that he arrives at the office at 6am every morning, and leaves at 10pm. He works weekends. "What else do you do, aside from work?" asks the interviewer. "Sleep," he replies. An impoverished lifestyle, methinks. No time to listen to music, to read a book, to play with children, to walk in the woods. (And how easy it must be to cut down a forest when there is no time to enjoy the trees and trails.) Even the CEO of Philip Morris must understand the meaning of a few extra numbers - the costs of overwork, the health effects of stress, no time with family. If his account books reflected just the value of time and health, in addition to sales and profits, I don't believe he would remain unmoved. Thirty years ago, almost to the day, just before he was assassinated, Robert Kennedy said: Too much and too long, we seem to have surrendered community excellence and community values in the mere accumulation of material things..The GNP counts air pollution and cigarette advertising and ambulances to clear our highways of carnage..Yet the gross national product does not allow for the health of our children, the quality of their education, or the joy of their play..It measures neither our wit nor our courage; neither our wisdom nor our learning; neither our compassion or our devotion to our country; it measures everything, in short, except that which makes life worthwhile. Of course, it would be a much more direct path to a decent society if policy-makers recognized fundamental human, social and environmental qualities as having intrinsic value in their own right, and if these values were considered in all policy decisions. But until then, and while money and economic criteria still dominate the policy arena, and the consumer ethic guides the behaviour of ordinary citizens, a genuine progress index at least can demonstrate convincingly that these non-material values are also the living basis of true wealth and well-being. There is no doubt that if the full social, economic and environmental costs of the MAI were included in the equation, we would see through the simplistic, narrow, spurious mathematics of the globalization dogma in an instant, and begin investing in genuine security, humanity, community strength and ecological resilience, that are the actual basis of wealth and prosperity, and, at a more profound level, that give life meaning and make life worthwhile. ---end---